WN 2177 · DEN → MSP

departs 6:55 PM MT · arrives 9:57 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

38% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MSP?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MSP (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2177 · DEN → MSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSP?