Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2593
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
WN 2593 · DCA → AUS
departs 5:25 PM ET · arrives 7:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±5 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 61% of the time recently
↑
5pm departures from DCA are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at DCA that day
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
AUS (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 4,167 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.