Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2696
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5
WN 2696 · MCO → SAN
departs 6:50 PM ET · arrives 8:55 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 44%
Sun 10/4 54%
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 42%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±2 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at SAN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
This flight has been late 39% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.63 in
SAN (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.