WN 295 · DCA → DAL

departs 9:01 AM ET · arrives 11:23 AM CT

Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DAL?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 9am departures from DCA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↑ DCA is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility3 mi Precipnone

DAL (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 295 · DCA → DAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAL?