Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3050
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
WN 3050 · DCA → OMA
departs 4:55 PM ET · arrives 6:40 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at OMA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OMA?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 45% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
4pm departures from DCA are often late
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at OMA
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
OMA (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.