WN 3529 · PNS → BNA

departs 12:35 PM CT · arrives 2:14 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at PNS that day

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↓ PNS usually runs smoothly

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PNS (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.77 in

BNA (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3529 · PNS → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?