Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 477
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5
WN 477 · CLT → BWI
departs 1:10 PM ET · arrives 2:40 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 41%
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at BWI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BWI?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
1pm departures from CLT are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
CLT is prone to delays
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.666667 mi forecast at BWI that day
Weather at each end
CLT (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.8 mi Precip none
BWI (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 1.2 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.