WN 4852 · BNA → SAV

took off 7:33 PM CT · landed 9:34 PM ET (scheduled 7:05 PM CT → 9:40 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at SAV more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SAV?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from BNA are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at SAV that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAV (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.47 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4852 · BNA → SAV

Odds over time

How late did it get to SAV?