WN 4852 · BNA → SAV

departs 5:15 PM CT · arrives 7:52 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at SAV more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAV?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from BNA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at SAV that day

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAV (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4852 · BNA → SAV

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAV?