Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 915
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
WN 915 · BWI → CLT
departs 8:05 PM ET · arrives 9:45 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 47%
Mon 10/5
Tue 10/6 4%
Wed 10/7 6%
Fri 10/9 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±4 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at CLT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CLT?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late
↑
8pm departures from BWI are often late
↑
This flight has been late 36% of the time recently
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 19 kt
Ceiling 333 ft
Visibility 5 mi
Precip none
CLT (destination)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling 200 ft
Visibility 0.8 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.