YV 4020 · CLT → IAH

took off 5:37 PM ET · landed 7:03 PM CT (scheduled 5:04 PM ET → 6:54 PM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to IAH?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling3,200 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YV 4020 · CLT → IAH

Odds over time

How late did it get to IAH?