YX 4580 · CHS → LGA

departs 6:17 AM ET · arrives 8:25 AM ET

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.9 in of rain forecast at CHS that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from CHS are usually not late

Weather at each end

CHS (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.89 in

LGA (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling3,833 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4580 · CHS → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?