YX 4595 · DCA → SAV

departs 1:05 PM ET · arrives 3:14 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at SAV more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAV?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 1.1 in of rain forecast at SAV that day

↑ 1pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ DCA is prone to delays

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ YX's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

SAV (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility5 mi Precip1.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4595 · DCA → SAV

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAV?