Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5592
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5
YX 5592 · DCA → BOS
departs 12:55 PM ET · arrives 2:40 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 5:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 10/4 26%
Mon 10/5
Tue 10/6 14%
Wed 10/7 23%
Thu 10/8 19%
Fri 10/9 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late
↑
12pm departures from DCA are often late
↑
DCA is prone to delays
↓
YX's recent on-time record
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 4,600 ft Visibility 0.866667 mi Precip none
BOS (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.