Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5664
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5
YX 5664 · LGA → RIC
departs 7:15 AM ET · arrives 8:55 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 8:00 PM ET · 59h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 7%
Sun 10/4 11%
Mon 10/5
Odds over time
Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.3d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at RIC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to RIC?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LGA is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.6 mi forecast at RIC that day
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.6 mi forecast at LGA that day
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into RIC at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
LGA (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 0.6 mi Precip 0.03 in
RIC (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.6 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.