YX 5688 · JFK → CLT

departs 11:31 AM ET · arrives 1:31 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from JFK are often late

↑ JFK is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK

Weather at each end

JFK (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling4,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 5688 · JFK → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?