9E 4648 · MCI → RDU

departs 8:07 PM CT · arrives 11:36 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RDU?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into RDU at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 8pm departures from MCI are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCI

Weather at each end

MCI (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

RDU (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 4648 · MCI → RDU

Odds over time

How late will it get to RDU?