Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 5296 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 6 Tomorrow

9E 5296 · BUF → JFK

departs 9:28 AM ET · arrives 10:17 AM ET

Your aircraft is N829SK (CRJ9), coming in as 9E 5296 from JFK: landed 6:55 PM ET.

Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↑ JFK is busy at that time

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BUF

Weather at each end

BUF (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

JFK (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5296 · BUF → JFK

Odds over time