tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1614 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 1614 · MCO → DCA

departs 5:01 PM ET · arrives 7:20 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
33% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 4.2d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to DCA?

  1. On time or early
    65%
  2. 15–30 min late
    6%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    10%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    11%
  6. Cancelled
    3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.