tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1842 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 1842 · SFO → MIA

departs 10:42 PM PT · arrives 7:20 AM ET
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 64h before departure
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
8% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 4.6d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MIA?

  1. On time or early
    91%
  2. 15–30 min late
    <1%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.