tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1904 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 1904 · CLT → RDU

departs 5:49 PM ET · arrives 6:58 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 68h before departure
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
14% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 4.2d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to RDU?

  1. On time or early
    85%
  2. 15–30 min late
    6%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.