Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2241 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 6

AA 2241 · RSW → CLT

departs 8:41 AM ET · arrives 10:36 AM ET

Forecast issued Sat 2:00 PM ET · 67h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

6% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ 8am departures from RSW are usually not late

Weather at each end

RSW (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling11,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.07 in

CLT (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2241 · RSW → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?