Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 812 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 6 Today

AA 812 · AUS → MIA

departs 12:33 PM CT · arrives 3:48 PM ET

Your aircraft is N801AW (A319), coming in as AA 812 from MIA: landed 11:12 AM CT.

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↑ 12pm departures from AUS are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AUS

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MIA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 812 · AUS → MIA

Odds over time