tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 863 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 863 · PVD → DCA

departs 5:55 AM ET · arrives 7:46 AM ET
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 56h before departure
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
6% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 3% 6% 9% 12% 3.7d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to DCA?

  1. On time or early
    93%
  2. 15–30 min late
    2%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    1%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.