Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 970 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 6

AA 970 · RSW → MIA

departs 12:06 PM ET · arrives 1:19 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 48h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±2 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MIA?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at RSW that day

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↑ 12pm departures from RSW are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ RSW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

RSW (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.27 in

MIA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.19 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 970 · RSW → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?