Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 424SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 424 · SFO → SAN
departs 8:26 AM PT · arrives 9:58 AM PT
Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
19%chance · ±1 pts+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.