tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Sep 30, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 424 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AS 424 · SFO → SAN

departs 8:22 AM PT · arrives 9:58 AM PT
Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 69h before departure
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
18% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 4.8d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SAN?

  1. On time or early
    81%
  2. 15–30 min late
    10%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    1%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.