Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3382
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 6 Tomorrow
F9 3382 · SFO → SAN
departs 4:22 PM PT · arrives 6:11 PM PT
Forecast issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 49%
Tue 10/6
Wed 10/7 26%
Thu 10/8 39%
Sat 10/10 25%
Sun 10/11 50%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±6 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.3d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at SAN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 33% of the time recently
↑
4pm departures from SFO are often late
↑
Arrivals into SAN at that hour are often late
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at SFO that day
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
SAN (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.