Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3568
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 6
MQ 3568 · PNS → MIA
departs 1:54 PM CT · arrives 4:52 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 11:00 PM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 10/6
Wed 10/7 17%
Sat 10/10 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.1d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave PNS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at MIA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at PNS that day
↑
Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
PNS usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PNS (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.04 in
MIA (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.29 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.