Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3755
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 6
MQ 3755 · MTY → MIA
departs 6:00 AM CST · arrives 11:48 AM ET
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 62h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Sun 10/4 11%
Tue 10/6
Wed 10/7 13%
Thu 10/8 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
10%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
10%
Leave 15+ late
9%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
3.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Leave MTY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Arrive at MIA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MTY
↑
This route's recent record
↑
MIA is prone to delays
↓
Other factors
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MTY (origin)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip —
MIA (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.