Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4316
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 6
MQ 4316 · MAR → MIA
departs 2:40 PM -04 · arrives 5:57 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 65h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 27%
Sun 10/4 20%
Tue 10/6
Wed 10/7 23%
Thu 10/8 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.1d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave MAR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at MIA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
No breakdown for this forecast yet.
Weather at each end
MAR (origin)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip —
MIA (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.21 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.