OH 5443 · CLT → HSV

departs 7:55 PM ET · arrives 8:22 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at HSV more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HSV?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HSV (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5443 · CLT → HSV

Odds over time

How late will it get to HSV?