Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5461 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 6

OH 5461 · AGS → CLT

departs 7:05 PM ET · arrives 8:08 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 PM ET · 49h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

AGS (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling10,667 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

CLT (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5461 · AGS → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?