Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2074
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 6 Tomorrow
QX 2074 · OME → ANC
departs 9:42 AM AKDT · arrives 11:34 AM AKT
Forecast issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · 14h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/7 13%
Thu 10/8 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
1.1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave OME more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at ANC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ANC?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
QX's recent on-time record
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at ANC
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
9am departures from OME are usually not late
Weather at each end
OME (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ANC (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.