Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 1, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2074
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 8
QX 2074 · OME → ANC
departs 9:54 AM AKDT · arrives 11:46 AM AKT
Forecast issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · 59h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Wed 10/7 13%
Thu 10/8
Odds over time
Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
2.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave OME more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed – in 24h
–
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at ANC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed – in 24h
–
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to ANC?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 45 kt, cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 0.1 mi forecast at OME that day
↑
QX's recent on-time record
↑
This route's recent record
↓
9am departures from OME are usually not late
↓
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at ANC that day
Weather at each end
OME (origin)
Gusts 44 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 0.1 mi Precip 0.15 in
ANC (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.