Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2123
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 6 Tomorrow
QX 2123 · SEA → YYJ
departs 9:40 PM PT · arrives 10:43 PM PDT
Forecast issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · 25h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/7 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at YYJ more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
1.6d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at YYJ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at YYJ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to YYJ?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at YYJ that day
↑
SEA is busy at that time
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at SEA that day
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
YYJ (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.