Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Sep 30, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2123
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 7 Tomorrow
QX 2123 · SEA → YYJ
departs 9:43 PM PT · arrives 10:45 PM PDT
Forecast issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 13%
Wed 10/7
Odds over time
Arrive at YYJ more than 15 minutes late?
10%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
10%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
2.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at YYJ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at YYJ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to YYJ?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
SEA is busy at that time
↑
9pm departures from SEA are often late
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at SEA that day
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
YYJ (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.