Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 486SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
UA 486 · EWR → MCO
departs 9:08 AM ET · arrives 11:45 AM ET
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 46h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
9%chance · ±3 pts−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.