tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Sep 30, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 486 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 486 · EWR → MCO

departs 9:09 AM ET · arrives 11:57 AM ET
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
15% chance · ±6 pts +5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 4.7d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MCO?

  1. On time or early
    84%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.