tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 804 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 804 · HND → IAD

departs 3:51 PM JST · arrives 3:02 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 57h before departure
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
5% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 3% 6% 9% 12% 3.6d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to IAD?

  1. On time or early
    92%
  2. 15–30 min late
    0%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    1%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.