Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2146
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 6 Tomorrow
WN 2146 · MCO → MHT
departs 7:24 PM ET · arrives 10:15 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 10/6
Wed 10/7 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at MHT more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±4 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
63%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.3d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MHT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
63%
Yes 63%
No 37%
Arrive at MHT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MHT?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 1.2 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
7pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MHT
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 1.19 in
MHT (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.