WN 2547 · MCO → MIA

departs 10:43 AM ET · arrives 11:48 AM ET

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MIA?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, 1.1 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day

↑ 10am departures from MCO are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.37 in

MIA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.12 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2547 · MCO → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?