WN 2685 · MCO → BNA

departs 3:35 PM ET · arrives 4:35 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, 1.1 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day

↑ 3pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.37 in

BNA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2685 · MCO → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?