Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4422
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 6
WN 4422 · HOU → MIA
departs 6:32 PM CT · arrives 10:08 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 10/6
Wed 10/7 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±3 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.3d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at MIA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA
↑
This flight has been late 47% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
WN's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MIA (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.21 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.