WN 623 · SAN → OGG

took off 11:57 AM PT · landed 2:08 PM HT (scheduled 11:03 AM PT → 1:48 PM HT)

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at OGG more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to OGG?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OGG is prone to delays

↑ 11am departures from SAN are often late

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at OGG

Weather at each end

SAN (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

OGG (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 623 · SAN → OGG

Odds over time

How late did it get to OGG?