WN 623 · SAN → OGG

departs 10:58 AM PT · arrives 1:56 PM HT

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at OGG more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to OGG?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OGG is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↑ 10am departures from SAN are often late

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at OGG

Weather at each end

SAN (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

OGG (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 623 · SAN → OGG

Odds over time

How late will it get to OGG?