Schedule: FAA flight plans.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4471
SCHEDULED
Tomorrow
YX 4471 · LGA → ORF
departs 1:18 PM ET · arrives 2:48 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 24h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at ORF more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
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How late will it get to ORF?
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On time or early
86%
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15–30 min late
8%
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30 min–1 hour late
3%
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1–2 hours late
2%
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Over 2 hours late
<1%
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Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.