Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHERN AIRWAYS EXPRESS · FLIGHT 9X 501 LANDED 7:43 AM HT, ~2 MIN EARLY · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, October 7 Today

9X 501 · OGG → KOA

took off 7:18 AM HT · landed 7:43 AM HT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at KOA more than 15 minutes late?

5% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

No breakdown for this forecast yet.

Weather at each end

OGG (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

KOA (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9X 501 · OGG → KOA

Odds over time