AA 2264 · CLT → SRQ

took off 8:27 AM ET · landed 9:51 AM ET (scheduled 7:19 AM ET → 9:20 AM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SRQ?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, 1.9 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at SRQ that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

SRQ (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip1.34 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2264 · CLT → SRQ

Odds over time

How late did it get to SRQ?