tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Sep 30, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5221 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

OH 5221 · DCA → MSN

departs 10:28 AM ET · arrives 11:48 AM CT
Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Arrive at MSN more than 15 minutes late?
15% chance · ±1 pts −3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 4.8d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MSN?

  1. On time or early
    84%
  2. 15–30 min late
    6%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    3%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.